Assessment of CMIP6 Multi-Model Projections Worldwide: Which Regions Are Getting Warmer and Are Going through a Drought in Africa and Morocco? What Changes from CMIP5 to CMIP6?

Although climate change is an inherently global issue, its impacts will not be felt equally across Earth’s pressure belts and continental-scale regions. This study seeks to examine which areas are becoming warmer experiencing drought, with a particular focus on Africa, in light of low historical emissions but poor economic capacity for mitigation adaptation change, Morocco, whose conditional goal, achieved foreign assistance, rated as “almost sufficient” yet compliance the Paris Agreement’s goal. We also explore consistency sources uncertainty Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models analyze what changes from CMIP5—whose projections based Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)—to Shared Socio-Economic (SSPs)-based scenarios CMIP6. find that strong forcing, no additional policies, projected raise mean annual temperature over Morocco long-term period by 6.25 °C. All CMIP6 agree warming (resp. drought) greater land masses poles tropical coastal regions) than oceans equatorial regions high latitudes, equatorial, monsoon zones), less so intensity changes.